Sunday, January 12, 2003

Accuracy Report: Mac Rumors

Original Predictions from Mac Rumors:
- iMovie 3
- iDVD 3
- iPhoto 2
- Pay-for iApp bundle
- 802.11g
- Powerbooks, 12" and 17"
Mac Rumors also predicted a new iApp, but didn't predict what it would be.

While some of Mac Rumors predicting was really reporting, they were at the general benchmark of accuracy for this expo, but they pulled ahead they night before the keynote, when they first reported new Powerbooks.

Base Score: 50
Correct Software Predictions:
- iPhoto 2, iMovie 3, iDVD 3, +20
- iLife, +10
Incorrect Software Predictions:
- iPhoto 2, iMovie 3 not available for free (they are), -5
Missed Software:
- Safari, -15
- Keynote, -10
- Final Cut Express, -10
Correct Hardware Predictions:
- AirPort Extreme, +30
- Powerbook 12" and 17", +30
Incorrect Hardware Predictions:
Missed Hardware:
Additional Points, + or -:
- "Year of the Laptop" Gold Honor, for predicting new Powerbooks, +25
- Special bonus for being the first, and only major site to report on new Powerbooks at the keynote, +20

Final Score: 145, from a base 50.

Nice, but what does it mean?
It means that Mac Rumors did pretty well, although they wouldn't be on top if they hadn't correctly predicted the new Powerbooks, which won them extra points.

Next up: Winners and Losers


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